“Heart”, who is also known as “Ginger”, is a very well-known and popular whale in the Depoe Bay region. Heart is a female who is particularly famous for being a “tall fluker”, meaning that when she dives, she arches her tail fluke high in the air before it glides elegantly into the water (check out her fluke series in the right image). Heart was first documented as a calf in 2010, which means that she is 14 years old (as of 2024). At 14 years of age, we would expect for Heart to have had at least one, if not more, calves by now, as it is believed that gray whales reach sexual maturity at age 8 or 9. However, Heart has never been documented with a calf. Why?

While we cannot know for sure, we have a theory that it might be linked to her body length. Recent work in our lab has explored how growth of PCFG whales has changed over time. Using measurements of whales from our drone data, we  investigated how the asymptotic length (a.k.a. the final length reached once an individual stops growing) for the PCFG whales has changed since the 1980s. Shockingly, we found that starting in the year 2000 the asymptotic length of PCFG whales has declined at an average rate of 0.05-0.12 meters per year. Over time, this means that a whale born in 2020 is expected to reach an adult body length that is 13% shorter than a gray whale born prior to 2000. In Heart’s case specifically, when we last measured her length at 13 years old, she was 10.65 meters long. If she was born prior to 2000, then she would be 12.04 meters long by now at the age of 13. That’s a whole 1.5 meters (or almost 5 feet) shorter! 

You might be wondering, how Heart’s length links back to her ability to have a calf? It takes a lot of energy to be pregnant and support the fetus, so By being smaller, Heart may not be able to store and allocate enough energy towards reproduction. Many of the whales we commonly see are shorter than expected based on their age (including “Zorro“), so we are monitoring the number and frequency of calves in the PCFG to see how this decline in length may impact the population.